When it comes to LaLiga’s relegation battles, Las Palmas vs Alavés is the epitome of desperation meeting determination. Here’s a shocking stat: both teams have combined for just 11 wins in 52 matches this season. That’s a win rate of barely 21%, putting them firmly in the relegation dogfight. On March 14, 2025, at the Estadio Gran Canaria, these two sides will clash in a game that could define their survival hopes. Let’s dive into the nitty-gritty of what’s at stake, the key players, and why this match is a must-watch for fans of high-stakes football.
Head-to-Head: A Battle of Equals
The recent head-to-head record between Las Palmas and Alavés suggests a tightly contested affair. Over their last five meetings, Alavés has edged slightly ahead with two wins compared to Las Palmas’ one, while two games ended in draws. Interestingly, Alavés pulled off a convincing 2-0 victory in their last encounter on September 1, 2024. However, Las Palmas managed a 1-0 win in December 2023, proving they can grind out results on their day.
Their history is a mix of grit and grind, with both teams often canceling each other out. Will this game follow the same script, or will one side finally break free and claim a decisive victory?
Last 5 Games: Inconsistent Struggles
Las Palmas
The Canary Islanders have been far from consistent in their recent outings. With mixed results in their last five games, Las Palmas have shown flashes of promise but failed to maintain momentum. Their inability to convert draws into wins has been a recurring theme this season.
Alavés
Alavés’ form mirrors that of Las Palmas, with inconsistent performances leaving them hovering dangerously close to the drop zone. While they’ve managed to snatch a few points here and there, their lack of consistency has been a major concern for manager Luis García Plaza.
Form Guide: Who’s Trending Upwards?
If there’s one thing both teams share, it’s their lack of form. Las Palmas and Alavés have struggled to string together positive results, making this match a toss-up. Las Palmas currently sits one point above Alavés in the standings, but that slim advantage means little in a game of this magnitude.
Las Palmas’ home form could be their saving grace. Playing at the Estadio Gran Canaria has often given them an extra edge, and they’ll need to leverage that support to secure a crucial win. On the other hand, Alavés’ ability to grind out results away from home will be tested in what promises to be a hostile environment.
Season So Far: A Tale of Two Struggling Sides
Las Palmas
With 6 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, Las Palmas’ season has been a rollercoaster. A goal difference of -14 highlights their struggles at both ends of the pitch. While Sandro leads the scoring charts with 8 goals, the team’s defense has been a glaring weakness, conceding 44 goals so far.
Alavés
Alavés’ record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses is equally underwhelming. Their goal difference of -11 is slightly better than Las Palmas’, but it’s clear that both teams are desperate for points. E García has been a standout performer with 11 goals, but the team’s lack of creativity in midfield has often left him isolated.
Stats That Matter
When dissecting the numbers, it’s evident that both teams are offensively challenged. Las Palmas has scored 30 goals this season, while Alavés is just behind with 29. Assists tell a similar story, with Las Palmas (21) slightly edging Alavés (18). Defensively, Alavés holds a slight edge, conceding 40 goals compared to Las Palmas’ 44.
Key Players to Watch
Las Palmas
- Sandro: The team’s top scorer with 8 goals, Sandro will be the focal point of Las Palmas’ attack. His ability to hold up play and finish chances could be decisive.
- F Silva: With 7 goals, Silva provides additional firepower and creativity in the final third.
- O McBurnie: Leading the team with 5 assists, McBurnie’s vision and passing will be crucial in unlocking Alavés’ defense.
Alavés
- E García: The standout performer with 11 goals, García’s clinical finishing makes him a constant threat.
- J Jordán: Contributing 4 goals, Jordán’s ability to support García could be key.
- C Vicente: With 4 assists, Vicente’s creativity in midfield will be vital for Alavés’ chances.
Game Odds: What the Bookies Say
The odds reflect the tight nature of this contest. Las Palmas are slight favorites at +165, while Alavés are close behind at +140. A draw is priced at +200, highlighting the potential for a stalemate. This game is anyone’s guess, but one thing is certain: it’s going to be a tense affair.
Match Prediction
Here’s how we see the game unfolding:
| Aspect | Las Palmas | Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Likely Scoreline | 1-1 | |
| Winning Probability | 40% | 35% |
| Draw Probability | 25% | |
| Key Factor | Home advantage | E García’s form |
Given the stakes and recent form, a 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome. Both teams will be cautious, knowing a loss could have severe repercussions in the relegation battle.
Why This Match Matters
Beyond the stats and predictions, this game is a must-win for both sides. With the threat of relegation looming large, every point counts. For Las Palmas, a victory could provide a much-needed boost in their survival bid. For Alavés, it’s a chance to climb out of the bottom three and build momentum for the final stretch of the season.
The atmosphere at the Estadio Gran Canaria will be electric, with fans urging their team on in what promises to be a nail-biting encounter. Whether it’s Sandro’s clinical finishing or E García’s predatory instincts, the players will need to step up and deliver when it matters most.
Final Thoughts
The battle between Las Palmas and Alavés is more than just a game—it’s a fight for survival. Both teams have struggled this season, but this match offers a chance to turn their fortunes around. With so much at stake, expect a tense, gritty, and hard-fought contest that could go down to the wire.
As the final whistle blows, one thing is certain: the outcome of this game could have a massive impact on the relegation scrap. Will Las Palmas capitalize on their home advantage, or will Alavés’ resilience shine through? Tune in on March 14 to find out.